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Developed by. Welles Wilder, the Relative Strength Index calculates the difference in values between the closes over the Observation Period. These values are averaged, with an up average being calculated for periods with higher closes and a down- average being calculated for periods with lower closes. The up average is divided by the down average to create the Relative Strength. Finally, the Relative Strength is put into Relative Strength Index formula to produce an oscillator that fluctuates between 0 and 100.
By calculating the RSI in this way, Wilder was able to overcome two problems he had encountered with other momentum oscillators. Firstly, the RSI should avoid some of the erratic movements common to other momentum oscillators by smoothing the points used to calculate the oscillator. Secondly, the Y Axis scale for all instruments should be the same, 0 to 100. This would enable comparison between instruments and for objective levels to be used for overbought and oversold readings.
The most common uses of RSI in Binary Options trading are to:
An overbought or oversold market is one where prices have risen or fallen too far and are therefore likely to retrace. If the RSI is above 70 then the market is considered to be overbought, and an RSI value below 30 indicates that the market is oversold. 80 and 20 can also be used to indicate overbought and oversold levels. Overbought and oversold signals re most reliable in a non-trending market where prices are making series of equal highs and lows.
If the market is trending, then signals in the direction of the trend are likely to be more reliable. For example if prices are in an uptrend, a safer trade entry may be obtained by waiting for prices to pullback giving an oversold signal and then turn up again.
If the RSI is above 70 and you are looking for the market to form a top, then the RSI crossing back below 70 can be used as a sell signal. The same is true for the market bottoms, buying after the RSI has moved back above 30. These signals are best used in non-trending markets.
In trending markets, the most reliable signals will be in the direction of the trend. For example if the market is trending up, taking only buy signals after the RSI has moved back above 30 after dipping below it. The reason for taking signals only in the direction of the trend is that when the market is trending any counter trend signal is likely to indicate a small retracement against the underlying trend rather than true reversal.
Divergence between the RSI and the price indicates that an up or down move is weakening. Bearish Divergence occurs when prices are making higher highs but the RSI is making lower highs. This is a sign that the up move is weakening. It is important to note that although Divergences indicate a weakening trend, they do not in themselves indicate that the trend has reversed. The confirmation or signal that the trend has reversed must come from price action, for example a trend line break.
Observation Period: (default 14)
Lower Bound percentage (default 30); this provides the lower boundary expressed as a percentage of the instrument’s value. The number must be less than the Upper Bound. Upper Bound percentage (default 70); this provides the upper boundary expressed as a percentage of the instrument’s value.
Wilder used 14 as an observation period although periods of 9 and 7 are also popular. Decreasing the observation period increases the sensitivity of the RSI to changes in price, resulting in a more responsive RSI. Note that a shorter observation period may also result in an increase in the number of false signals. A longer period results in a smoother RSI that will generate fewer signals.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI) was originated by Donald Lambert in 1980. It is based on the assumption that a perfectly cyclical commodity price approximates a sine wave. Designed to be used with instruments, which have seasonal or cyclical tendencies, CCI is not used to calculate cycle lengths but rather to indicate that a cycle trend is beginning.
The most common uses of CCI in binary options strategies are to:
This is Lambert’s original interpretation, buying when the Commodity Channel Index moved above +100 and selling when the Commodity Channel Index went below – 100. The assumption with this use of Commodity Channel Index is that once an instrument breaks +100 or – 100, it has begun to trend.
Sell signals are when the CCI moves from above +100 to below +100 and buy signals are when the CCI moves from below – 100 to above -100. This method works best when the market is non-trending.
In trending markets, the Commodity Channel Index can be used to indicate that the trend is weakening by signaling divergence. Divergence between the CCI line and the price indicates that an up or down move is weakening.
Bearish Divergence occurs when prices are making higher highs but the CCI is making lower highs. This is a sign that the up move is weakening. Bullish Divergence occurs when prices are making lower lows, but the CCI is making higher lows. This is a sign that the down move is weakening.
The choice of observation period is important. Most charting platforms have a period of 14, set as default. If Commodity Channel Index is to be used as Lambert originally suggested then the observation period should be one third of the cycle length. If the Commodity Channel Index is to be used for purposes other than in relation to cycles, the observation period can be set so that the – 100 to 100 bands contain 70% to 80% of the data.